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Final
2021-09-2107:10Tropicana Field
4-6
Rays
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Team123456789RHE
Blue Jays010010002451
Rays00003111X6111

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.9
Blue Jays scoring tendency
39%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 38%
Rays scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 27%
Opponent allowing 29%
Sustained highCombined vs league +15pp
#2
Inn.2
Blue Jays scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 40%
Rays scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 25%
Sustained highCombined vs league +15pp
#3
Inn.7
Blue Jays scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 25%
Rays scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 15%
Opponent allowing 40%
Heating upCombined vs league +7pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Blue Jays offense × Rays defense
39%R 40% · RA 38%
Rays offense × Blue Jays defense
28%R 27% · RA 29%
Sample 10Combined vs league +15pp
Last 20 67% · Season 53% · +14pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
60%
+5pp
4–6 Middle
58%
+1pp
7–9 Late
60%
+7pp
F5 first five
60%
+4pp
F9 full game
59%
+4pp
Show team trends+

Blue Jays — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

149 games
0367210814494691846921157639057410061592666756477174854449102810+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.51.11.62.212345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 785Runs Allowed 608

Rays — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

150 games
033671001349074173602778237990486735935868553710764879329273810+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.21.612345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 796Runs Allowed 624
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
Blue JaysR30% 44/14932% 47/149#137% 55/14931% 46/149#234% 51/14931% 46/14928% 41/147#332% 43/13327% 26/9650% 8/16
RA24% 36/14924% 36/14925% 37/14921% 31/149#326% 38/149#227% 40/14923% 34/146#129% 38/13325% 26/10662% 10/16
RaysR32% 48/15021% 32/15027% 41/15031% 46/150#333% 50/150#234% 51/15030% 44/14832% 48/148#135% 38/10941% 12/29
RA#327% 41/15024% 36/150#230% 45/150#131% 47/15027% 41/15023% 35/15021% 32/15023% 34/14820% 25/12866% 19/29

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.