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Final
2021-09-2007:08Citi Field
2-3
Mets
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Phillies100010000280
Mets00002010X371

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.1
Phillies scoring tendency
48%
Own scoring 50%
Opponent allowing 45%
Mets scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 55%
Opponent allowing 10%
Heating upCombined vs league +21pp
#2
Inn.8
Phillies scoring tendency
37%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 33%
Mets scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 33%
Opponent allowing 30%
Sustained highCombined vs league +14pp
#3
Inn.6
Phillies scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 25%
Mets scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 30%
Heating upCombined vs league +8pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Phillies offense × Mets defense
48%R 50% · RA 45%
Mets offense × Phillies defense
32%R 55% · RA 10%
Sample 20Combined vs league +21pp
Last 20 80% · Season 56% · +24pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
62%
+7pp
4–6 Middle
59%
+2pp
7–9 Late
63%
+10pp
F5 first five
60%
+4pp
F9 full game
61%
+7pp
Show team trends+

Phillies — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

148 games
03265971308374161642668237865472725737467282710493858779191210+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.21.612345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 686Runs Allowed 695

Mets — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

149 games
0265380107728514468263533667046179575706785575668850479241510+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.21.712345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 589Runs Allowed 610
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
PhilliesR#133% 49/14824% 36/14825% 37/14827% 40/148#328% 42/14827% 40/14824% 35/147#232% 46/14425% 28/11073% 11/15
RA24% 35/14823% 34/14829% 43/14822% 33/14824% 36/14829% 43/148#329% 43/147#233% 47/144#136% 40/11047% 7/15
MetsR27% 40/14915% 22/14927% 40/14928% 41/14924% 36/14926% 38/149#133% 46/141#328% 35/127#230% 29/9861% 11/18
RA#328% 42/14926% 38/14921% 31/14921% 32/149#130% 44/149#230% 44/14924% 34/14428% 35/12727% 25/9456% 10/18

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.