Sportify
Final
2021-09-2002:15Busch Stadium
Padres
Away
7-8
Team123456789RHE
Padres0012010307101
Cardinals50002010X8111

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.3
Padres scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 30%
Cardinals scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 35%
Sustained highCombined vs league +7pp
#2
Inn.4
Padres scoring tendency
18%
Own scoring 15%
Opponent allowing 20%
Cardinals scoring tendency
43%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 45%
Heating upCombined vs league +3pp
#3
Inn.1
Padres scoring tendency
22%
Own scoring 15%
Opponent allowing 30%
Cardinals scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 25%
Short-term swingCombined vs league -1pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Padres offense × Cardinals defense
28%R 25% · RA 30%
Cardinals offense × Padres defense
35%R 35% · RA 35%
Sample 20Combined vs league +7pp
Last 20 62% · Season 56% · +6pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
57%
+2pp
4–6 Middle
42%
-14pp
7–9 Late
52%
-1pp
F5 first five
54%
-2pp
F9 full game
51%
-4pp
Show team trends+

Padres — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

149 games
0285684112857818663259893677446374577666796577470863299201710+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.50.81.012345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 673Runs Allowed 625

Cardinals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

147 games
030609012096751647528376364754745656368652737565884855920710+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.61.11.72.312345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 620Runs Allowed 618
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
PadresR29% 43/149#130% 45/14925% 37/14926% 39/14921% 31/14928% 42/148#230% 44/14824% 35/145#330% 31/10546% 11/24
RA24% 36/14926% 38/149#130% 45/149#329% 43/14929% 43/14924% 35/14824% 35/148#230% 43/14520% 22/11242% 10/24
CardinalsR#137% 54/147#329% 42/147#231% 46/14724% 36/14724% 35/14723% 34/14722% 32/14622% 31/14124% 25/10682% 9/11
RA25% 37/14724% 36/147#227% 39/147#130% 44/14725% 37/147#327% 39/14723% 34/14521% 29/14123% 26/11127% 3/11

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.