Scoring Analysis

Final

2021-09-1907:15Citi Field

Phillies

Away

5-3

Mets

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Phillies	1	0	1	0	0	0	3	0	0	5	9	0
Mets	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	0	3	7	1

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.1

Phillies scoring tendency

43%

Own scoring 45%

Opponent allowing 40%

Mets scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 55%

Opponent allowing 10%

Heating upCombined vs league +16pp

Inn.4

Phillies scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 25%

Mets scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 25%

Heating upCombined vs league +8pp

Inn.8

Phillies scoring tendency

37%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 33%

Mets scoring tendency

26%

Own scoring 28%

Opponent allowing 25%

Sustained highCombined vs league +9pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Phillies offense × Mets defense

43%R 45% · RA 40%

Mets offense × Phillies defense

32%R 55% · RA 10%

Sample 20Combined vs league +16pp

Last 20 75% · Season 56% · +19pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

61%

+6pp

4–6 Middle

59%

+2pp

7–9 Late

59%

+6pp

F5 first five

60%

+4pp

F9 full game

60%

+5pp

Show team trends+

Phillies — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

147 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 681Runs Allowed 692

Mets — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

148 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 586Runs Allowed 605

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Phillies	R	#133% 48/147	24% 36/147	24% 36/147	27% 40/147	#329% 42/147	27% 40/147	23% 34/146	#232% 46/143	26% 28/109	73% 11/15
Phillies	RA	24% 35/147	23% 34/147	#329% 43/147	22% 33/147	24% 36/147	29% 42/147	29% 42/146	#232% 46/143	#137% 40/109	47% 7/15
Mets	R	27% 40/148	15% 22/148	27% 40/148	#328% 41/148	24% 36/148	25% 37/148	#132% 45/140	27% 34/126	#230% 29/97	61% 11/18
Mets	RA	28% 41/148	26% 38/148	20% 30/148	22% 32/148	#130% 44/148	#230% 44/148	23% 33/143	#328% 35/126	27% 25/93	56% 10/18

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.