Sportify
Final
2021-09-1907:15Busch Stadium
Padres
Away
2-3
Team123456789RHE
Padres000200000290
Cardinals00000003X350

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.3
Padres scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 30%
Cardinals scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 35%
Sustained highCombined vs league +7pp
#2
Inn.1
Padres scoring tendency
22%
Own scoring 15%
Opponent allowing 30%
Cardinals scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 25%
Short-term swingCombined vs league -1pp
#3
Inn.2
Padres scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 35%
Cardinals scoring tendency
20%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 15%
Sustained highCombined vs league +4pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Padres offense × Cardinals defense
28%R 25% · RA 30%
Cardinals offense × Padres defense
35%R 35% · RA 35%
Sample 20Combined vs league +7pp
Last 20 62% · Season 57% · +6pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
58%
+3pp
4–6 Middle
43%
-13pp
7–9 Late
52%
-1pp
F5 first five
54%
-2pp
F9 full game
51%
-4pp
Show team trends+

Padres — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

148 games
0285684112857818663259893657446374577666796577467863299201710+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.50.81.012345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 671Runs Allowed 622

Cardinals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

146 games
030609012096751647528376364734745656368652737535884855920710+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.61.11.72.312345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 617Runs Allowed 616
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
PadresR29% 43/148#130% 45/14825% 37/14826% 38/14821% 31/14829% 42/147#230% 44/14724% 35/144#330% 31/10446% 11/24
RA24% 36/14826% 38/148#130% 45/148#329% 43/14829% 43/14824% 35/14724% 35/147#229% 42/14420% 22/11242% 10/24
CardinalsR#137% 54/146#329% 42/146#232% 46/14625% 36/14624% 35/14623% 34/14622% 32/14521% 30/14024% 25/10682% 9/11
RA25% 37/14625% 36/146#227% 39/146#129% 43/14625% 37/146#327% 39/14624% 34/14421% 29/14024% 26/11027% 3/11

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.