Scoring Analysis

Final

2021-09-1807:10Citi Field

Phillies

Away

4-3

Mets

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Phillies	0	1	0	0	1	0	1	1	0	4	7	0
Mets	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	2	0	3	8	0

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.1

Phillies scoring tendency

45%

Own scoring 45%

Opponent allowing 45%

Mets scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 55%

Opponent allowing 10%

Heating upCombined vs league +19pp

Inn.6

Phillies scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 25%

Mets scoring tendency

38%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 35%

Heating upCombined vs league +11pp

Inn.4

Phillies scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 25%

Mets scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 25%

Heating upCombined vs league +6pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Phillies offense × Mets defense

45%R 45% · RA 45%

Mets offense × Phillies defense

32%R 55% · RA 10%

Sample 20Combined vs league +19pp

Last 20 78% · Season 56% · +22pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

61%

+6pp

4–6 Middle

59%

+2pp

7–9 Late

57%

+4pp

F5 first five

58%

+3pp

F9 full game

59%

+4pp

Show team trends+

Phillies — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

146 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 677Runs Allowed 689

Mets — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

147 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 583Runs Allowed 601

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Phillies	R	#133% 48/146	24% 35/146	25% 36/146	27% 40/146	#328% 41/146	27% 40/146	23% 33/145	#232% 45/142	26% 28/108	73% 11/15
Phillies	RA	24% 35/146	23% 34/146	#329% 43/146	22% 32/146	25% 36/146	29% 42/146	29% 42/145	#232% 45/142	#137% 40/108	47% 7/15
Mets	R	#327% 40/147	15% 22/147	27% 40/147	27% 40/147	24% 36/147	25% 37/147	#132% 45/139	26% 33/125	#230% 29/96	61% 11/18
Mets	RA	#328% 41/147	25% 37/147	20% 30/147	22% 32/147	#229% 43/147	#130% 44/147	23% 32/142	27% 34/125	27% 25/92	56% 10/18

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.