Scoring Analysis

Final

2021-09-1807:10Tropicana Field

Tigers

Away

4-7

Rays

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	R	H	E
Tigers	1	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	4	7	1
Rays	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	3X	7	9	2

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.5

Tigers scoring tendency

45%

Own scoring 50%

Opponent allowing 40%

Rays scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 30%

Sustained highCombined vs league +19pp

Inn.8

Tigers scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 35%

Rays scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 15%

Heating upCombined vs league +6pp

Inn.4

Tigers scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 25%

Rays scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 30%

Sustained highCombined vs league +1pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Tigers offense × Rays defense

45%R 50% · RA 40%

Rays offense × Tigers defense

30%R 30% · RA 30%

Sample 20Combined vs league +19pp

Last 20 75% · Season 68% · +7pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

52%

-3pp

4–6 Middle

62%

+6pp

7–9 Late

55%

+2pp

F5 first five

58%

+2pp

F9 full game

57%

+2pp

Show team trends+

Tigers — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

147 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 640Runs Allowed 696

Rays — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

147 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 786Runs Allowed 614

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Tigers	R	20% 29/147	27% 40/147	25% 37/147	#329% 43/147	#139% 58/147	26% 38/147	27% 39/144	19% 26/138	#231% 34/109	65% 15/23
Tigers	RA	29% 42/147	#232% 47/147	26% 38/147	29% 43/147	#135% 51/147	#331% 45/147	23% 34/145	30% 41/138	25% 26/105	57% 13/23
Rays	R	32% 47/147	21% 31/147	28% 41/147	31% 45/147	#334% 50/147	#235% 51/147	30% 44/145	33% 48/145	#135% 37/106	39% 11/28
Rays	RA	27% 39/147	23% 34/147	#230% 44/147	#131% 46/147	#328% 41/147	24% 35/147	21% 31/147	23% 34/145	20% 25/125	68% 19/28

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.