Scoring Analysis

Final

2021-09-1707:10Tropicana Field

Tigers

Away

2-5

Rays

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Tigers	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	1	2	6	0
Rays	2	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	X	5	7	0

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.5

Tigers scoring tendency

43%

Own scoring 45%

Opponent allowing 40%

Rays scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 25%

Sustained highCombined vs league +14pp

Inn.8

Tigers scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 40%

Rays scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 45%

Opponent allowing 20%

Heating upCombined vs league +13pp

Inn.4

Tigers scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 25%

Rays scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 30%

Sustained highCombined vs league +3pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Tigers offense × Rays defense

43%R 45% · RA 40%

Rays offense × Tigers defense

28%R 30% · RA 25%

Sample 20Combined vs league +14pp

Last 20 70% · Season 67% · +3pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

53%

-2pp

4–6 Middle

60%

+3pp

7–9 Late

56%

+3pp

F5 first five

58%

+2pp

F9 full game

56%

+2pp

Show team trends+

Tigers — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

146 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 638Runs Allowed 691

Rays — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

146 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 781Runs Allowed 612

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Tigers	R	20% 29/146	27% 40/146	25% 37/146	#329% 43/146	#139% 57/146	26% 38/146	27% 39/143	19% 26/137	#231% 33/108	65% 15/23
Tigers	RA	28% 41/146	#232% 47/146	26% 38/146	29% 43/146	#134% 50/146	#330% 44/146	24% 34/144	30% 41/137	25% 26/105	57% 13/23
Rays	R	32% 46/146	21% 31/146	28% 41/146	31% 45/146	#334% 49/146	#234% 50/146	31% 44/144	33% 48/144	#135% 37/106	39% 11/28
Rays	RA	27% 39/146	23% 34/146	#230% 44/146	#132% 46/146	#327% 40/146	24% 35/146	21% 31/146	24% 34/144	19% 24/124	68% 19/28

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.