Scoring Analysis

Final

2021-09-1700:35PNC Park

Reds

Away

1-0

Pirates

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Reds	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	5	1
Pirates	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6	0

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.3

Reds scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 40%

Pirates scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 30%

Sustained highCombined vs league +9pp

Inn.1

Reds scoring tendency

20%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 15%

Pirates scoring tendency

40%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 50%

Sustained highCombined vs league +1pp

Inn.6

Reds scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 35%

Pirates scoring tendency

25%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 25%

Short-term swingCombined vs league -2pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Reds offense × Pirates defense

32%R 25% · RA 40%

Pirates offense × Reds defense

32%R 35% · RA 30%

Sample 20Combined vs league +9pp

Last 20 65% · Season 57% · +8pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

56%

+1pp

4–6 Middle

51%

-6pp

7–9 Late

47%

-6pp

F5 first five

53%

-3pp

F9 full game

51%

-4pp

Show team trends+

Reds — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

146 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 710Runs Allowed 683

Pirates — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

145 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 536Runs Allowed 743

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Reds	R	#130% 44/146	27% 39/146	#230% 44/146	23% 34/146	#328% 41/146	27% 39/145	28% 40/144	26% 37/142	28% 30/109	70% 16/23
Reds	RA	#136% 53/146	21% 31/146	26% 38/146	#328% 41/146	25% 36/146	27% 39/145	23% 33/145	#231% 44/142	26% 29/112	61% 14/23
Pirates	R	#225% 36/145	19% 28/145	#324% 35/145	24% 35/145	23% 33/145	#126% 37/145	23% 33/142	19% 26/136	22% 25/114	55% 6/11
Pirates	RA	#238% 55/145	#337% 54/145	34% 49/145	25% 36/145	27% 39/145	#139% 56/145	32% 46/143	25% 34/137	22% 20/89	36% 4/11

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.