Scoring Analysis

Final

2021-09-1607:10Citi Field

Cardinals

Away

11-4

Mets

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Cardinals	5	0	0	1	0	0	2	3	0	11	16	1
Mets	0	1	1	0	0	1	1	0	0	4	13	1

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.1

Cardinals scoring tendency

43%

Own scoring 45%

Opponent allowing 40%

Mets scoring tendency

43%

Own scoring 55%

Opponent allowing 30%

Heating upCombined vs league +26pp

Inn.3

Cardinals scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 45%

Opponent allowing 15%

Mets scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 30%

Heating upCombined vs league +9pp

Inn.2

Cardinals scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 30%

Mets scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 35%

Heating upCombined vs league +10pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Cardinals offense × Mets defense

43%R 45% · RA 40%

Mets offense × Cardinals defense

43%R 55% · RA 30%

Sample 20Combined vs league +26pp

Last 20 85% · Season 58% · +27pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

70%

+15pp

4–6 Middle

49%

-7pp

7–9 Late

47%

-6pp

F5 first five

62%

+6pp

F9 full game

55%

+0pp

Show team trends+

Cardinals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

144 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 598Runs Allowed 610

Mets — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

146 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 579Runs Allowed 590

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Cardinals	R	#136% 52/144	#329% 42/144	#232% 46/144	24% 34/144	24% 35/144	24% 34/144	22% 31/143	20% 28/138	24% 25/105	82% 9/11
Cardinals	RA	26% 37/144	24% 35/144	#226% 38/144	#130% 43/144	26% 37/144	#326% 38/144	23% 32/142	21% 29/138	24% 26/108	27% 3/11
Mets	R	#327% 40/146	14% 21/146	27% 39/146	27% 40/146	25% 36/146	25% 36/146	#132% 44/138	27% 33/124	#231% 29/95	61% 11/18
Mets	RA	27% 40/146	25% 37/146	21% 30/146	21% 31/146	#229% 43/146	#130% 44/146	22% 31/141	27% 33/124	#327% 25/91	56% 10/18

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.