Scoring Analysis

Final

2021-09-1607:05Citizens Bank Park

Cubs

Away

5-6

Phillies

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Cubs	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	2	1	5	8	0
Phillies	0	0	0	3	1	0	0	1	1X	6	11	1

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.4

Cubs scoring tendency

38%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 35%

Phillies scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 20%

Heating upCombined vs league +8pp

Inn.1

Cubs scoring tendency

18%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 10%

Phillies scoring tendency

48%

Own scoring 45%

Opponent allowing 50%

Heating upCombined vs league +6pp

Inn.5

Cubs scoring tendency

25%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 25%

Phillies scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 40%

Heating upCombined vs league +4pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Cubs offense × Phillies defense

38%R 40% · RA 35%

Phillies offense × Cubs defense

28%R 35% · RA 20%

Sample 20Combined vs league +8pp

Last 20 65% · Season 56% · +9pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

55%

-0pp

4–6 Middle

61%

+4pp

7–9 Late

51%

-2pp

F5 first five

58%

+2pp

F9 full game

56%

+1pp

Show team trends+

Cubs — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

145 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 622Runs Allowed 731

Phillies — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

144 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 654Runs Allowed 676

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Cubs	R	#328% 41/145	26% 38/145	#231% 45/145	#132% 47/145	23% 34/145	23% 34/145	25% 36/143	27% 38/141	24% 27/112	71% 10/14
Cubs	RA	#232% 46/145	27% 39/145	29% 42/145	30% 44/145	#332% 46/145	#134% 50/145	26% 37/145	18% 25/141	17% 18/104	71% 10/14
Phillies	R	#133% 48/144	24% 35/144	25% 36/144	26% 38/144	#328% 40/144	27% 39/144	22% 32/143	#231% 43/140	25% 27/107	73% 11/15
Phillies	RA	24% 35/144	24% 34/144	#329% 42/144	22% 32/144	24% 35/144	29% 42/144	29% 41/143	#231% 44/140	#137% 39/106	47% 7/15

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.