Scoring Analysis

Final

2021-09-1606:35PNC Park

Reds

Away

4-5

Pirates

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Reds	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	4	7	2
Pirates	0	0	3	1	0	0	0	0	1X	5	9	0

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.3

Reds scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 40%

Pirates scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 25%

Sustained highCombined vs league +4pp

Inn.1

Reds scoring tendency

18%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 10%

Pirates scoring tendency

40%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 50%

Cooling downCombined vs league -1pp

Inn.5

Reds scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 20%

Opponent allowing 35%

Pirates scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 50%

Opponent allowing 10%

Heating upCombined vs league +1pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Reds offense × Pirates defense

32%R 25% · RA 40%

Pirates offense × Reds defense

28%R 30% · RA 25%

Sample 20Combined vs league +4pp

Last 20 60% · Season 57% · +3pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

54%

-1pp

4–6 Middle

53%

-3pp

7–9 Late

44%

-9pp

F5 first five

53%

-2pp

F9 full game

50%

-4pp

Show team trends+

Reds — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

145 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 706Runs Allowed 678

Pirates — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

144 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 531Runs Allowed 739

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Reds	R	#230% 43/145	27% 39/145	#130% 44/145	23% 34/145	#328% 41/145	27% 39/144	27% 39/143	26% 36/141	28% 30/108	70% 16/23
Reds	RA	#137% 53/145	21% 31/145	26% 37/145	#328% 40/145	25% 36/145	27% 39/144	23% 33/144	#231% 44/141	25% 28/111	61% 14/23
Pirates	R	#225% 36/144	19% 28/144	#324% 34/144	24% 34/144	23% 33/144	#126% 37/144	23% 33/141	19% 26/135	21% 24/113	55% 6/11
Pirates	RA	#238% 54/144	#338% 54/144	34% 49/144	25% 36/144	27% 39/144	#139% 56/144	32% 45/142	24% 33/136	23% 20/88	36% 4/11

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.