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Final
2021-09-1507:10Citi Field
7-6
Mets
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Team1234567891011RHE
Cardinals000200020037102
Mets20001000102663

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.1
Cardinals scoring tendency
45%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 45%
Mets scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 50%
Opponent allowing 25%
Heating upCombined vs league +24pp
#2
Inn.3
Cardinals scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 15%
Mets scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 35%
Heating upCombined vs league +11pp
#3
Inn.2
Cardinals scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 35%
Mets scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 40%
Heating upCombined vs league +14pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Cardinals offense × Mets defense
45%R 45% · RA 45%
Mets offense × Cardinals defense
38%R 50% · RA 25%
Sample 20Combined vs league +24pp
Last 20 82% · Season 58% · +24pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
72%
+16pp
4–6 Middle
47%
-10pp
7–9 Late
44%
-9pp
F5 first five
61%
+5pp
F9 full game
54%
-1pp
Show team trends+

Cardinals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

143 games
027558211088731647428375360734745556367650707445884854917510+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.61.21.82.412345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 591Runs Allowed 604

Mets — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

145 games
024497499707914367262523656746078573706764975362849479221210+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.91.31.712345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 573Runs Allowed 583
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
CardinalsR#136% 52/143#329% 42/143#232% 46/14323% 33/14324% 35/14324% 34/14322% 31/14220% 27/13724% 25/10489% 8/9
RA25% 36/14324% 35/143#227% 38/143#130% 43/14325% 36/143#327% 38/14323% 32/14121% 29/13723% 25/10722% 2/9
MetsR27% 39/14514% 21/14527% 39/145#328% 40/14524% 35/14525% 36/145#132% 44/13727% 33/123#230% 28/9462% 10/16
RA28% 40/14526% 37/14521% 30/14521% 30/145#230% 43/145#130% 44/14522% 31/14026% 32/123#328% 25/9056% 9/16

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.