Sportify
Final
2021-09-1507:05Nationals Park
2-8
Team123456789RHE
Marlins000010100242
Nationals01102004X8141

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.1
Marlins scoring tendency
45%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 45%
Nationals scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 35%
Sustained highCombined vs league +19pp
#2
Inn.6
Marlins scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 45%
Nationals scoring tendency
22%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 20%
Heating upCombined vs league +6pp
#3
Inn.4
Marlins scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 10%
Opponent allowing 40%
Nationals scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 35%
Short-term swingCombined vs league +3pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Marlins offense × Nationals defense
45%R 45% · RA 45%
Nationals offense × Marlins defense
32%R 30% · RA 35%
Sample 20Combined vs league +19pp
Last 20 77% · Season 62% · +16pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
57%
+1pp
4–6 Middle
59%
+3pp
7–9 Late
51%
-2pp
F5 first five
57%
+1pp
F9 full game
55%
+1pp
Show team trends+

Marlins — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

144 games
0306090120736817567265573439645673573516554977279841519141310+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.20.50.81.012345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 567Runs Allowed 604

Nationals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

144 games
0326496128102901616428181388844629156787664787617684655971610+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.51.01.52.012345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 639Runs Allowed 722
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
MarlinsR#327% 39/144#128% 40/14422% 32/14419% 27/14425% 36/14426% 37/14422% 32/143#227% 38/14019% 21/10856% 10/18
RA28% 41/14422% 32/14424% 35/144#131% 45/144#229% 42/14420% 29/14319% 27/141#329% 40/14028% 29/10550% 9/18
NationalsR#134% 49/14423% 33/14430% 43/144#231% 45/14423% 33/14425% 36/14325% 35/14025% 33/131#330% 32/10640% 4/10
RA#134% 49/14422% 32/14432% 46/14432% 46/144#333% 47/14429% 42/143#233% 47/14230% 39/13132% 30/9590% 9/10

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.