Scoring Analysis

Final

2026-05-3007:10Citi Field

Marlins

Away

7-9

Mets

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	R	H	E
Marlins	0	0	1	1	2	0	1	2	0	0	7	12	2
Mets	4	0	1	1	0	0	1	0	0	2X	9	8	1

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.2

Marlins scoring tendency

38%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 50%

Mets scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 45%

Opponent allowing 25%

Sustained highCombined vs league +25pp

Inn.3

Marlins scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 40%

Mets scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 30%

Sustained highCombined vs league +12pp

Inn.6

Marlins scoring tendency

25%

Own scoring 20%

Opponent allowing 30%

Mets scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 40%

Sustained highCombined vs league +6pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Marlins offense × Mets defense

38%R 25% · RA 50%

Mets offense × Marlins defense

35%R 45% · RA 25%

Sample 20Combined vs league +25pp

Last 20 72% · Season 57% · +16pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

63%

+11pp

4–6 Middle

52%

-2pp

7–9 Late

43%

-8pp

F5 first five

57%

+4pp

F9 full game

53%

+0pp

Show team trends+

Marlins — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

57 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 241Runs Allowed 254

Mets — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

56 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 214Runs Allowed 243

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Marlins	R	#137% 21/57	#332% 18/57	23% 13/57	32% 18/57	25% 14/57	23% 13/57	18% 10/57	#237% 21/57	21% 9/42	100% 3/3
Marlins	RA	#333% 19/57	19% 11/57	28% 16/57	26% 15/57	#135% 20/57	#235% 20/57	11% 6/57	30% 17/57	26% 11/42	100% 3/3
Mets	R	#227% 15/56	#132% 18/56	16% 9/56	21% 12/56	23% 13/56	#327% 15/56	25% 14/56	21% 12/56	12% 6/48	64% 9/14
Mets	RA	#330% 17/56	30% 17/56	#234% 19/56	20% 11/56	14% 8/56	#138% 21/56	20% 11/56	25% 14/56	21% 9/42	57% 8/14

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.