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Final
2021-09-1308:08Citi Field
6-7
Mets
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Team123456789RHE
Yankees200002200672
Mets13001101X791

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.4
Yankees scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 35%
Mets scoring tendency
42%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 50%
Heating upCombined vs league +18pp
#2
Inn.1
Yankees scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 15%
Opponent allowing 45%
Mets scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 50%
Opponent allowing 20%
Heating upCombined vs league +6pp
#3
Inn.7
Yankees scoring tendency
23%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 21%
Mets scoring tendency
41%
Own scoring 37%
Opponent allowing 45%
Heating upCombined vs league +11pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Yankees offense × Mets defense
32%R 30% · RA 35%
Mets offense × Yankees defense
42%R 35% · RA 50%
Sample 20Combined vs league +18pp
Last 20 75% · Season 53% · +22pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
54%
-1pp
4–6 Middle
60%
+4pp
7–9 Late
58%
+5pp
F5 first five
58%
+2pp
F9 full game
57%
+2pp
Show team trends+

Yankees — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

142 games
0255075100627917651269673737446555561676605678059840599271810+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.21.512345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 613Runs Allowed 585

Mets — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

143 games
024487297697714066262513656745977572686764775262849439221210+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.91.31.712345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 566Runs Allowed 570
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
YankeesR22% 31/142#230% 42/14226% 37/14227% 39/142#328% 40/14225% 36/14226% 35/137#135% 47/13525% 27/10977% 17/22
RA#134% 48/14220% 28/142#327% 39/142#229% 41/14224% 34/14224% 34/14223% 33/14126% 35/13527% 30/11164% 14/22
MetsR27% 38/14314% 20/14327% 39/143#328% 40/14324% 34/14324% 35/143#133% 44/13526% 32/121#230% 28/9362% 10/16
RA#327% 39/14325% 36/14320% 29/14321% 30/143#229% 42/143#130% 43/14322% 30/13826% 32/12127% 24/8856% 9/16

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.