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Final
2021-09-1301:20Truist Park
3-5
Braves
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Marlins010002000351
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.1
Marlins scoring tendency
48%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 55%
Braves scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 40%
Sustained highCombined vs league +24pp
#2
Inn.4
Marlins scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 15%
Opponent allowing 35%
Braves scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 35%
Heating upCombined vs league +3pp
#3
Inn.8
Marlins scoring tendency
31%
Own scoring 26%
Opponent allowing 35%
Braves scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 26%
Sustained highCombined vs league +5pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Marlins offense × Braves defense
48%R 40% · RA 55%
Braves offense × Marlins defense
35%R 30% · RA 40%
Sample 20Combined vs league +24pp
Last 20 82% · Season 61% · +21pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
58%
+2pp
4–6 Middle
50%
-6pp
7–9 Late
52%
-1pp
F5 first five
55%
-1pp
F9 full game
53%
-2pp
Show team trends+

Marlins — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

142 games
0295988118726817467265573439445672571516554777279839519141310+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.20.50.81.012345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 561Runs Allowed 599

Braves — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

142 games
0306090120968515143279803846149071591636727678555835489121610+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.71.11.412345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 695Runs Allowed 598
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
MarlinsR#327% 38/142#227% 39/14223% 32/14219% 27/14225% 36/14225% 36/14223% 32/141#128% 38/13819% 20/10656% 10/18
RA#329% 41/14223% 32/14225% 35/142#131% 44/14229% 41/14221% 29/14119% 26/139#229% 40/13828% 29/10450% 9/18
BravesR#334% 48/14219% 27/14233% 47/14227% 38/142#236% 51/142#137% 53/14230% 42/14127% 35/13025% 26/10243% 6/14
RA#133% 47/14221% 30/142#330% 43/14225% 36/14225% 35/14223% 33/142#232% 45/14027% 35/13029% 31/10671% 10/14

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.