Scoring Analysis

Final

2021-09-1207:45Citi Field

Yankees

Away

8-7

Mets

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Yankees	0	5	0	0	0	0	0	3	0	8	10	0
Mets	0	3	1	0	0	2	1	0	0	7	11	1

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.4

Yankees scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 35%

Mets scoring tendency

45%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 50%

Heating upCombined vs league +23pp

Inn.1

Yankees scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 15%

Opponent allowing 50%

Mets scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 50%

Opponent allowing 20%

Heating upCombined vs league +9pp

Inn.9

Yankees scoring tendency

25%

Own scoring 29%

Opponent allowing 20%

Mets scoring tendency

34%

Own scoring 29%

Opponent allowing 40%

Sustained highCombined vs league +7pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Yankees offense × Mets defense

35%R 35% · RA 35%

Mets offense × Yankees defense

45%R 40% · RA 50%

Sample 20Combined vs league +23pp

Last 20 80% · Season 53% · +27pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

52%

-3pp

4–6 Middle

61%

+4pp

7–9 Late

58%

+6pp

F5 first five

57%

+2pp

F9 full game

57%

+2pp

Show team trends+

Yankees — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

141 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 605Runs Allowed 578

Mets — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

142 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 559Runs Allowed 562

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Yankees	R	22% 31/141	#229% 41/141	26% 37/141	28% 39/141	#328% 40/141	26% 36/141	26% 35/136	#134% 46/134	25% 27/108	77% 17/22
Yankees	RA	#134% 48/141	19% 27/141	27% 38/141	#229% 41/141	24% 34/141	23% 33/141	23% 32/140	26% 35/134	#327% 30/110	64% 14/22
Mets	R	27% 38/142	13% 19/142	27% 38/142	#328% 40/142	24% 34/142	24% 34/142	#132% 43/134	27% 32/120	#230% 28/92	62% 10/16
Mets	RA	27% 39/142	25% 35/142	20% 29/142	21% 30/142	#230% 42/142	#130% 43/142	22% 30/137	26% 31/120	#328% 24/87	56% 9/16

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.