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Final
2021-09-1207:20Truist Park
6-4
Braves
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Marlins2100000216111
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.1
Marlins scoring tendency
42%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 50%
Braves scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 40%
Sustained highCombined vs league +19pp
#2
Inn.4
Marlins scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 15%
Opponent allowing 35%
Braves scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 40%
Heating upCombined vs league +8pp
#3
Inn.8
Marlins scoring tendency
26%
Own scoring 21%
Opponent allowing 30%
Braves scoring tendency
33%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 32%
Sustained highCombined vs league +5pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Marlins offense × Braves defense
42%R 35% · RA 50%
Braves offense × Marlins defense
35%R 30% · RA 40%
Sample 20Combined vs league +19pp
Last 20 77% · Season 61% · +17pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
54%
-1pp
4–6 Middle
55%
-1pp
7–9 Late
52%
-1pp
F5 first five
55%
-1pp
F9 full game
54%
-1pp
Show team trends+

Marlins — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

141 games
0295988118706817367265573439445669571516554777079838509141310+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.20.50.81.012345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 555Runs Allowed 595

Braves — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

141 games
0306090120968315142279803846148771591636727678553834479121610+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.71.11.412345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 691Runs Allowed 592
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
MarlinsR#326% 37/141#227% 38/14123% 32/14119% 27/14126% 36/14126% 36/14123% 32/140#127% 37/13718% 19/10556% 10/18
RA#329% 41/14123% 32/14125% 35/141#131% 44/14128% 40/14121% 29/14019% 26/138#229% 40/13727% 28/10350% 9/18
BravesR#334% 48/14119% 27/14133% 47/14127% 38/141#235% 50/141#138% 53/14130% 42/14027% 35/12925% 25/10143% 6/14
RA#133% 46/14121% 29/141#330% 43/14126% 36/14125% 35/14123% 33/141#232% 45/13926% 34/12929% 30/10571% 10/14

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.