Scoring Analysis

Final

2021-09-1206:10Comerica Park

Rays

Away

7-2

Tigers

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Rays	0	3	0	2	1	0	0	0	1	7	10	2
Tigers	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	1	2	3	0

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.8

Rays scoring tendency

40%

Own scoring 50%

Opponent allowing 30%

Tigers scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 40%

Heating upCombined vs league +21pp

Inn.5

Rays scoring tendency

25%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 20%

Tigers scoring tendency

43%

Own scoring 45%

Opponent allowing 40%

Sustained highCombined vs league +11pp

Inn.2

Rays scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 25%

Tigers scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 20%

Opponent allowing 35%

Sustained highCombined vs league +10pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Rays offense × Tigers defense

40%R 50% · RA 30%

Tigers offense × Rays defense

35%R 30% · RA 40%

Sample 20Combined vs league +21pp

Last 20 75% · Season 52% · +23pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

58%

+3pp

4–6 Middle

58%

+2pp

7–9 Late

58%

+5pp

F5 first five

58%

+3pp

F9 full game

58%

+3pp

Show team trends+

Rays — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

141 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 761Runs Allowed 588

Tigers — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

142 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 623Runs Allowed 676

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Rays	R	33% 46/141	21% 29/141	29% 41/141	30% 43/141	#333% 47/141	#135% 50/141	32% 44/139	32% 45/139	#235% 35/101	38% 10/26
Rays	RA	#327% 38/141	24% 34/141	#230% 42/141	#130% 43/141	27% 38/141	24% 34/141	22% 31/141	24% 33/139	19% 23/121	65% 17/26
Tigers	R	20% 29/142	#328% 40/142	25% 36/142	28% 40/142	#139% 56/142	27% 38/142	27% 38/139	19% 25/133	#230% 32/105	63% 12/19
Tigers	RA	29% 41/142	#232% 45/142	27% 38/142	29% 41/142	#135% 49/142	#331% 44/142	24% 34/140	30% 40/133	25% 25/101	63% 12/19

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.