Sportify
Final
2021-09-1204:40Oriole Park at Camden Yards
11-2
Team123456789RHE
Blue Jays00000011--11111
Orioles0010001--240

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.7
Blue Jays scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 30%
Orioles scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 50%
Opponent allowing 30%
Heating upCombined vs league +20pp
#2
Inn.6
Blue Jays scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 25%
Orioles scoring tendency
43%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 45%
Sustained highCombined vs league +13pp
#3
Inn.4
Blue Jays scoring tendency
43%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 40%
Orioles scoring tendency
22%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 15%
Sustained highCombined vs league +8pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Blue Jays offense × Orioles defense
32%R 35% · RA 30%
Orioles offense × Blue Jays defense
40%R 50% · RA 30%
Sample 20Combined vs league +20pp
Last 20 72% · Season 53% · +20pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
45%
-10pp
4–6 Middle
59%
+3pp
7–9 Late
63%
+10pp
F5 first five
48%
-7pp
F9 full game
56%
+1pp
Show team trends+

Blue Jays — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

140 games
03264961288165179612102673805249160587646586077171854439102810+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.51.11.62.212345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 713Runs Allowed 571

Orioles — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

140 games
033669913376911448727810236510346397560926587979110683945971110+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.71.01.412345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 581Runs Allowed 813
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
Blue JaysR29% 41/14031% 44/140#136% 51/14031% 43/140#334% 47/14031% 44/14028% 38/138#234% 43/12628% 26/9350% 8/16
RA24% 34/14023% 32/14024% 33/14021% 29/140#326% 37/140#227% 38/14023% 31/137#129% 36/12625% 25/9962% 10/16
OriolesR#134% 47/14019% 26/14030% 42/140#231% 43/14026% 37/14026% 36/14026% 37/140#330% 41/13520% 23/11670% 7/10
RA31% 44/14029% 41/14034% 48/140#137% 52/14034% 48/140#335% 49/14029% 40/138#237% 50/13526% 24/9470% 7/10

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.