Sportify
Final
2021-09-1107:05Oriole Park at Camden Yards
3-6
Team123456789RHE
Blue Jays0000120003102
Orioles30000030X6112

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.4
Blue Jays scoring tendency
48%
Own scoring 50%
Opponent allowing 45%
Orioles scoring tendency
22%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 15%
Sustained highCombined vs league +14pp
#2
Inn.7
Blue Jays scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 30%
Orioles scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 25%
Heating upCombined vs league +15pp
#3
Inn.6
Blue Jays scoring tendency
22%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 20%
Orioles scoring tendency
43%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 45%
Sustained highCombined vs league +8pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Blue Jays offense × Orioles defense
48%R 50% · RA 45%
Orioles offense × Blue Jays defense
22%R 30% · RA 15%
Sample 20Combined vs league +14pp
Last 20 70% · Season 60% · +10pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
45%
-10pp
4–6 Middle
58%
+2pp
7–9 Late
62%
+9pp
F5 first five
49%
-6pp
F9 full game
55%
+0pp
Show team trends+

Blue Jays — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

139 games
03264961288162179612102673805249060585646585777171854439102810+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.51.11.62.212345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 710Runs Allowed 565

Orioles — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

139 games
033669913373911448727810236510346396560906557979110683945971110+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.71.01.412345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 575Runs Allowed 810
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
Blue JaysR29% 41/13932% 44/139#137% 51/13931% 43/139#333% 46/13931% 43/13928% 38/137#234% 43/12528% 26/9250% 8/16
RA24% 33/13923% 32/13924% 33/13921% 29/139#327% 37/139#227% 38/13922% 30/136#129% 36/12525% 25/9962% 10/16
OriolesR#133% 46/13919% 26/13930% 42/139#231% 43/13927% 37/13926% 36/13926% 36/139#331% 41/13420% 23/11670% 7/10
RA32% 44/13929% 41/139#335% 48/139#137% 52/13934% 47/13935% 48/13929% 40/137#237% 50/13426% 24/9370% 7/10

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.