Scoring Analysis

Final

2021-09-1106:35PNC Park

Nationals

Away

3-4

Pirates

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Nationals	0	2	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	3	3	0
Pirates	0	0	1	0	0	0	1	0	2X	4	10	1

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.5

Nationals scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 35%

Pirates scoring tendency

38%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 35%

Heating upCombined vs league +17pp

Inn.6

Nationals scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 35%

Pirates scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 45%

Sustained highCombined vs league +11pp

Inn.1

Nationals scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 20%

Pirates scoring tendency

38%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 50%

Sustained highCombined vs league +6pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Nationals offense × Pirates defense

35%R 35% · RA 35%

Pirates offense × Nationals defense

38%R 40% · RA 35%

Sample 20Combined vs league +17pp

Last 20 72% · Season 52% · +20pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

57%

+2pp

4–6 Middle

68%

+12pp

7–9 Late

50%

-3pp

F5 first five

62%

+6pp

F9 full game

58%

+4pp

Show team trends+

Nationals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

140 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 623Runs Allowed 703

Pirates — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

140 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 509Runs Allowed 718

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Nationals	R	#135% 49/140	22% 31/140	#331% 43/140	31% 43/140	23% 32/140	25% 35/139	24% 33/136	25% 32/127	#231% 32/102	40% 4/10
Nationals	RA	#134% 48/140	22% 31/140	31% 43/140	#233% 46/140	#333% 46/140	29% 41/139	33% 45/138	31% 39/127	30% 28/92	90% 9/10
Pirates	R	#225% 35/140	19% 27/140	22% 31/140	#324% 34/140	22% 31/140	#126% 36/140	23% 31/137	20% 26/131	21% 23/111	55% 6/11
Pirates	RA	#139% 54/140	#337% 52/140	35% 49/140	24% 34/140	27% 38/140	#239% 54/140	31% 43/138	24% 32/132	23% 19/84	36% 4/11

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.