Sportify
Final
2026-05-3006:45Nationals Park
Padres
Away
7-5
Team123456789RHE
Padres1012012007101
Nationals211010000592

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.4
Padres scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 30%
Nationals scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 40%
Sustained highCombined vs league +8pp
#2
Inn.5
Padres scoring tendency
20%
Own scoring 15%
Opponent allowing 25%
Nationals scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 30%
Sustained highCombined vs league +0pp
#3
Inn.2
Padres scoring tendency
22%
Own scoring 10%
Opponent allowing 35%
Nationals scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 20%
Sustained highCombined vs league +5pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Padres offense × Nationals defense
28%R 25% · RA 30%
Nationals offense × Padres defense
35%R 30% · RA 40%
Sample 20Combined vs league +8pp
Last 20 62% · Season 61% · +1pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
49%
-3pp
4–6 Middle
49%
-5pp
7–9 Late
47%
-4pp
F5 first five
53%
-0pp
F9 full game
49%
-4pp
Show team trends+

Padres — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

55 games
012243648142511338219203302542823522256242672524832797210+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.51.11.62.212345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 214Runs Allowed 215

Nationals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

57 games
014284257452813337224293374343335524316382973735821229142110+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.50.91.41.912345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 306Runs Allowed 310
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
PadresR18% 10/5516% 9/5518% 10/5527% 15/55#229% 16/5525% 14/5527% 15/55#329% 16/55#133% 14/43100% 4/4
RA24% 13/55#129% 16/5520% 11/55#227% 15/5524% 13/55#325% 14/5524% 13/5522% 12/5513% 6/4750% 2/4
NationalsR#133% 19/5726% 15/57#332% 18/57#233% 19/5732% 18/5730% 17/5730% 17/5728% 16/5723% 11/4757% 8/14
RA25% 14/5728% 16/5733% 19/57#135% 20/57#235% 20/5719% 11/5733% 19/5728% 16/57#334% 16/4771% 10/14

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.