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Final
2021-09-1007:20Truist Park
6-7
Braves
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Team12345678910RHE
Nationals2000011110690
Braves0011110201X792

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.1
Nationals scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 45%
Braves scoring tendency
42%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 50%
Sustained highCombined vs league +24pp
#2
Inn.4
Nationals scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 35%
Braves scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 40%
Sustained highCombined vs league +19pp
#3
Inn.7
Nationals scoring tendency
36%
Own scoring 32%
Opponent allowing 40%
Braves scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 35%
Sustained highCombined vs league +18pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Nationals offense × Braves defense
40%R 35% · RA 45%
Braves offense × Nationals defense
42%R 35% · RA 50%
Sample 20Combined vs league +24pp
Last 20 82% · Season 68% · +15pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
65%
+10pp
4–6 Middle
61%
+4pp
7–9 Late
56%
+4pp
F5 first five
64%
+9pp
F9 full game
61%
+6pp
Show team trends+

Nationals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

139 games
0316293125100891586328176381834608756582661767597484551971510+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.51.01.62.112345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 617Runs Allowed 696

Braves — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

139 games
0306090120967915142278803836148171590626727578252834469111610+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.21.512345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 678Runs Allowed 584
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
NationalsR#135% 48/13922% 31/139#231% 43/139#331% 43/13923% 32/13925% 34/13824% 32/13525% 31/12631% 31/10144% 4/9
RA#135% 48/13922% 31/13930% 42/139#332% 45/13932% 45/13929% 40/138#233% 45/13730% 38/12631% 28/9189% 8/9
BravesR#235% 48/13919% 27/13933% 46/13927% 37/139#335% 48/139#137% 52/13930% 42/13826% 33/12725% 25/10038% 5/13
RA#232% 44/13921% 29/139#331% 43/13926% 36/13925% 35/13923% 32/139#132% 44/13726% 33/12728% 29/10377% 10/13

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.