Scoring Analysis

Final

2021-09-1006:40loanDepot park

Mets

Away

2-3

Marlins

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Mets	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	4	1
Marlins	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	X	3	7	0

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.1

Mets scoring tendency

40%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 40%

Marlins scoring tendency

40%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 45%

Heating upCombined vs league +21pp

Inn.4

Mets scoring tendency

43%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 45%

Marlins scoring tendency

25%

Own scoring 15%

Opponent allowing 35%

Heating upCombined vs league +11pp

Inn.6

Mets scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 30%

Marlins scoring tendency

22%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 20%

Short-term swingCombined vs league -4pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Mets offense × Marlins defense

40%R 40% · RA 40%

Marlins offense × Mets defense

40%R 35% · RA 45%

Sample 20Combined vs league +21pp

Last 20 80% · Season 54% · +26pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

49%

-6pp

4–6 Middle

54%

-2pp

7–9 Late

42%

-11pp

F5 first five

52%

-4pp

F9 full game

48%

-6pp

Show team trends+

Mets — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

140 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 547Runs Allowed 556

Marlins — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

139 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 550Runs Allowed 587

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Mets	R	26% 36/140	14% 19/140	26% 36/140	#328% 39/140	24% 34/140	24% 34/140	#132% 42/132	27% 32/118	#231% 28/91	62% 10/16
Mets	RA	#327% 38/140	24% 34/140	21% 29/140	21% 30/140	#130% 42/140	#230% 42/140	21% 29/135	25% 30/118	27% 23/86	56% 9/16
Marlins	R	#326% 36/139	#127% 38/139	23% 32/139	19% 27/139	26% 36/139	25% 35/139	22% 31/138	#227% 36/135	18% 19/104	56% 10/18
Marlins	RA	#329% 40/139	23% 32/139	24% 34/139	#132% 44/139	28% 39/139	21% 29/138	19% 26/136	#229% 39/135	27% 28/102	50% 9/18

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.