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Final
2021-09-0907:40Wrigley Field
Reds
Away
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Cubs
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Team12345678910RHE
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Cubs1000000003X440

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.1
Reds scoring tendency
42%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 50%
Cubs scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 40%
Sustained highCombined vs league +14pp
#2
Inn.8
Reds scoring tendency
27%
Own scoring 28%
Opponent allowing 26%
Cubs scoring tendency
41%
Own scoring 37%
Opponent allowing 44%
Heating upCombined vs league +13pp
#3
Inn.6
Reds scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 40%
Cubs scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 30%
Short-term swingCombined vs league +3pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Reds offense × Cubs defense
42%R 35% · RA 50%
Cubs offense × Reds defense
30%R 20% · RA 40%
Sample 20Combined vs league +14pp
Last 20 73% · Season 63% · +9pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
58%
+2pp
4–6 Middle
52%
-5pp
7–9 Late
47%
-6pp
F5 first five
54%
-2pp
F9 full game
52%
-3pp
Show team trends+

Reds — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

140 games
0295887117828318145292673638447663567786795777193854559273310+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.50.91.41.912345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 692Runs Allowed 658

Cubs — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

140 games
0316293124789916683274703708345892559966647077456847329121910+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.50.91.41.812345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 602Runs Allowed 700
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
RedsR#131% 43/14027% 38/140#231% 43/14023% 32/140#329% 41/14027% 38/13928% 39/13826% 36/13627% 28/10373% 16/22
RA#136% 50/14022% 31/14026% 36/140#328% 39/14025% 35/14027% 38/13924% 33/139#232% 43/13626% 28/10959% 13/22
CubsR28% 39/14027% 38/140#231% 44/140#132% 45/14023% 32/14024% 34/14025% 34/138#328% 38/13624% 26/10769% 9/13
RA#232% 45/14026% 37/14029% 40/14030% 42/140#331% 44/140#134% 48/14025% 35/14017% 23/13617% 17/9977% 10/13

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.