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Final
2021-09-0907:20Truist Park
4-2
Braves
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.1
Nationals scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 40%
Braves scoring tendency
42%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 50%
Sustained highCombined vs league +19pp
#2
Inn.3
Nationals scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 35%
Braves scoring tendency
43%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 40%
Sustained highCombined vs league +19pp
#3
Inn.4
Nationals scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 30%
Braves scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 35%
Sustained highCombined vs league +11pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Nationals offense × Braves defense
35%R 30% · RA 40%
Braves offense × Nationals defense
42%R 35% · RA 50%
Sample 20Combined vs league +19pp
Last 20 77% · Season 67% · +10pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
68%
+13pp
4–6 Middle
59%
+3pp
7–9 Late
55%
+2pp
F5 first five
66%
+10pp
F9 full game
61%
+6pp
Show team trends+

Nationals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

138 games
031629312499891586328176380824608756581660767587484551971510+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.51.01.62.112345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 613Runs Allowed 694

Braves — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

138 games
0306090120967815142278803826048171589626727478251834469111610+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.21.512345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 676Runs Allowed 580
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
NationalsR#134% 47/13822% 31/138#231% 43/13830% 42/13823% 32/13825% 34/13723% 31/13424% 30/125#331% 31/10044% 4/9
RA#135% 48/13822% 31/13830% 42/13832% 44/138#333% 45/13828% 39/137#233% 45/13630% 38/12531% 28/9089% 8/9
BravesR#235% 48/13820% 27/13833% 46/13826% 36/138#335% 48/138#137% 51/13831% 42/13726% 33/12625% 25/9938% 5/13
RA#231% 43/13821% 29/138#331% 43/13825% 35/13825% 35/13823% 32/138#132% 43/13625% 32/12628% 29/10277% 10/13

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.