Scoring Analysis

Final

2021-09-0907:05Oriole Park at Camden Yards

Royals

Away

8-9

Orioles

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Royals	1	0	1	0	2	0	1	0	3	8	13	2
Orioles	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	9	X	9	11	1

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.4

Royals scoring tendency

45%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 55%

Orioles scoring tendency

25%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 20%

Sustained highCombined vs league +14pp

Inn.7

Royals scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 25%

Orioles scoring tendency

42%

Own scoring 50%

Opponent allowing 35%

Sustained highCombined vs league +17pp

Inn.1

Royals scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 30%

Orioles scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 35%

Sustained highCombined vs league +6pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Royals offense × Orioles defense

45%R 35% · RA 55%

Orioles offense × Royals defense

25%R 30% · RA 20%

Sample 20Combined vs league +14pp

Last 20 70% · Season 67% · +3pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

55%

-0pp

4–6 Middle

63%

+7pp

7–9 Late

52%

-1pp

F5 first five

59%

+3pp

F9 full game

57%

+2pp

Show team trends+

Royals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

138 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 574Runs Allowed 668

Orioles — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

137 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 566Runs Allowed 796

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Royals	R	23% 32/138	22% 30/138	#231% 43/138	30% 42/138	#331% 43/138	24% 33/138	#133% 45/138	24% 32/134	28% 29/105	50% 6/12
Royals	RA	33% 45/138	25% 34/138	32% 44/138	#134% 47/138	#234% 47/138	29% 40/138	24% 33/137	#333% 44/134	30% 31/102	67% 8/12
Orioles	R	#134% 46/137	19% 26/137	#331% 42/137	#231% 43/137	27% 37/137	26% 36/137	26% 36/137	30% 40/132	20% 23/115	70% 7/10
Orioles	RA	31% 42/137	30% 41/137	34% 47/137	#138% 52/137	34% 46/137	#335% 48/137	29% 39/135	#237% 49/132	24% 22/91	70% 7/10

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.