Scoring Analysis

Final

2021-09-0906:40loanDepot park

Mets

Away

1-2

Marlins

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	R	H	E
Mets	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	1	4	1
Marlins	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1X	2	10	0

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.1

Mets scoring tendency

40%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 40%

Marlins scoring tendency

42%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 50%

Heating upCombined vs league +24pp

Inn.4

Mets scoring tendency

43%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 45%

Marlins scoring tendency

25%

Own scoring 15%

Opponent allowing 35%

Heating upCombined vs league +11pp

Inn.6

Mets scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 35%

Marlins scoring tendency

25%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 20%

Heating upCombined vs league +1pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Mets offense × Marlins defense

40%R 40% · RA 40%

Marlins offense × Mets defense

42%R 35% · RA 50%

Sample 20Combined vs league +24pp

Last 20 82% · Season 54% · +28pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

48%

-7pp

4–6 Middle

57%

+0pp

7–9 Late

43%

-10pp

F5 first five

52%

-4pp

F9 full game

49%

-5pp

Show team trends+

Mets — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

139 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 546Runs Allowed 554

Marlins — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

138 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 548Runs Allowed 586

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Mets	R	26% 36/139	14% 19/139	26% 36/139	#328% 39/139	24% 34/139	24% 34/139	#131% 41/131	27% 32/117	#231% 28/90	67% 10/15
Mets	RA	#327% 38/139	24% 33/139	21% 29/139	22% 30/139	#130% 42/139	#230% 42/139	22% 29/134	26% 30/117	27% 23/85	53% 8/15
Marlins	R	#326% 36/138	#227% 37/138	23% 32/138	20% 27/138	26% 36/138	25% 35/138	23% 31/137	#127% 36/134	18% 19/103	53% 9/17
Marlins	RA	#329% 40/138	23% 32/138	25% 34/138	#132% 44/138	28% 39/138	21% 29/137	19% 25/135	#229% 39/134	28% 28/101	53% 9/17

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.