Scoring Analysis

Final

2021-09-0902:10

Mariners

Away

8-5

Astros

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Mariners	2	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	4	8	13	0
Astros	0	3	0	0	1	0	0	0	1	5	10	0

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.6

Mariners scoring tendency

45%

Own scoring 45%

Opponent allowing 45%

Astros scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 35%

Heating upCombined vs league +18pp

Inn.1

Mariners scoring tendency

25%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 15%

Astros scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 40%

Short-term swingCombined vs league +1pp

Inn.3

Mariners scoring tendency

22%

Own scoring 20%

Opponent allowing 25%

Astros scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 20%

Cooling downCombined vs league -4pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Mariners offense × Astros defense

45%R 45% · RA 45%

Astros offense × Mariners defense

30%R 25% · RA 35%

Sample 20Combined vs league +18pp

Last 20 75% · Season 56% · +19pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

50%

-5pp

4–6 Middle

58%

+1pp

7–9 Late

38%

-14pp

F5 first five

50%

-6pp

F9 full game

49%

-6pp

Show team trends+

Mariners — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

139 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 588Runs Allowed 644

Astros — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

138 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 726Runs Allowed 550

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Mariners	R	#230% 42/139	19% 26/139	#134% 47/139	23% 32/139	25% 35/139	28% 39/139	24% 34/139	#329% 39/135	28% 29/104	73% 19/26
Mariners	RA	27% 37/139	#232% 45/139	#330% 42/139	29% 41/139	#136% 50/139	24% 34/139	22% 31/138	24% 33/135	25% 26/106	58% 15/26
Astros	R	#233% 46/138	25% 35/138	29% 40/138	#142% 58/138	#332% 44/138	29% 40/138	29% 40/138	25% 34/136	30% 30/100	65% 13/20
Astros	RA	21% 29/138	17% 24/138	28% 39/138	25% 34/138	#130% 42/138	#230% 42/138	25% 34/137	#329% 40/136	21% 23/111	65% 13/20

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.