Scoring Analysis

Final

2021-09-0808:10

Mariners

Away

4-5

Astros

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	R	H	E
Mariners	0	0	0	0	2	1	0	0	1	0	4	8	1
Astros	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	2	1X	5	12	1

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.6

Mariners scoring tendency

43%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 45%

Astros scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 35%

Heating upCombined vs league +18pp

Inn.1

Mariners scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 15%

Astros scoring tendency

38%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 40%

Heating upCombined vs league +6pp

Inn.3

Mariners scoring tendency

25%

Own scoring 20%

Opponent allowing 30%

Astros scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 20%

Cooling downCombined vs league -3pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Mariners offense × Astros defense

43%R 40% · RA 45%

Astros offense × Mariners defense

32%R 30% · RA 35%

Sample 20Combined vs league +18pp

Last 20 75% · Season 56% · +19pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

53%

-2pp

4–6 Middle

58%

+1pp

7–9 Late

41%

-12pp

F5 first five

52%

-4pp

F9 full game

51%

-4pp

Show team trends+

Mariners — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

138 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 584Runs Allowed 639

Astros — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

137 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 721Runs Allowed 546

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Mariners	R	#230% 42/138	19% 26/138	#134% 47/138	23% 32/138	25% 34/138	28% 38/138	25% 34/138	#329% 39/134	27% 28/103	76% 19/25
Mariners	RA	27% 37/138	#233% 45/138	#330% 41/138	30% 41/138	#136% 50/138	25% 34/138	23% 31/137	25% 33/134	24% 25/105	56% 14/25
Astros	R	#234% 46/137	26% 35/137	28% 39/137	#142% 58/137	#332% 44/137	29% 40/137	29% 40/137	25% 34/135	29% 29/99	63% 12/19
Astros	RA	21% 29/137	18% 24/137	28% 39/137	25% 34/137	#130% 41/137	#230% 41/137	25% 34/136	#330% 40/135	20% 22/110	68% 13/19

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.