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Final
2021-09-0807:40Wrigley Field
Reds
Away
4-3
Cubs
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Team123456789RHE
Reds2000000204100
Cubs001000020380

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.1
Reds scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 45%
Cubs scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 40%
Sustained highCombined vs league +9pp
#2
Inn.6
Reds scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 45%
Cubs scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 30%
Sustained highCombined vs league +8pp
#3
Inn.8
Reds scoring tendency
24%
Own scoring 28%
Opponent allowing 21%
Cubs scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 32%
Opponent allowing 44%
Heating upCombined vs league +8pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Reds offense × Cubs defense
38%R 30% · RA 45%
Cubs offense × Reds defense
30%R 20% · RA 40%
Sample 20Combined vs league +9pp
Last 20 68% · Season 63% · +5pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
54%
-1pp
4–6 Middle
56%
-1pp
7–9 Late
47%
-5pp
F5 first five
53%
-3pp
F9 full game
52%
-2pp
Show team trends+

Reds — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

139 games
0285786115808318145292663638447663567786795776991854559273310+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.50.91.41.912345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 688Runs Allowed 655

Cubs — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

139 games
0306191122789716683273703708345892559966647077254847329121910+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.50.91.41.812345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 599Runs Allowed 696
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
RedsR#230% 42/13927% 38/139#131% 43/13923% 32/139#329% 41/13928% 38/13828% 39/13726% 35/13527% 28/10273% 16/22
RA#136% 50/13922% 31/13925% 35/139#328% 39/13925% 35/13928% 38/13824% 33/138#231% 42/13526% 28/10859% 13/22
CubsR#328% 39/13927% 38/139#231% 43/139#132% 45/13923% 32/13924% 34/13925% 34/13727% 37/13525% 26/10669% 9/13
RA#232% 44/13927% 37/13929% 40/13930% 42/139#332% 44/139#135% 48/13925% 35/13916% 22/13517% 17/9877% 10/13

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.