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Final
2021-09-0807:20Truist Park
5-8
Braves
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Nationals100000400590
Braves30110021X8110

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.3
Nationals scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 35%
Braves scoring tendency
43%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 40%
Sustained highCombined vs league +22pp
#2
Inn.1
Nationals scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 35%
Braves scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 45%
Sustained highCombined vs league +9pp
#3
Inn.5
Nationals scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 15%
Braves scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 40%
Sustained highCombined vs league +9pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Nationals offense × Braves defense
35%R 35% · RA 35%
Braves offense × Nationals defense
43%R 45% · RA 40%
Sample 20Combined vs league +22pp
Last 20 78% · Season 63% · +15pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
67%
+12pp
4–6 Middle
62%
+5pp
7–9 Late
52%
-0pp
F5 first five
66%
+10pp
F9 full game
60%
+5pp
Show team trends+

Nationals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

137 games
030619212398861586328175380814608756581656747587384551971510+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.51.01.62.112345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 608Runs Allowed 686

Braves — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

137 games
0295887117937715142277803816048171589626707078151834469111610+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.21.512345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 668Runs Allowed 575
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
NationalsR#134% 46/13723% 31/137#231% 43/13731% 42/13723% 32/13725% 34/13623% 30/13324% 30/124#331% 31/9944% 4/9
RA#134% 47/13723% 31/13730% 41/13731% 43/137#233% 45/13729% 39/136#333% 44/13530% 37/12431% 28/9089% 8/9
BravesR#334% 47/13720% 27/13733% 45/13726% 35/137#235% 48/137#137% 51/13730% 41/13626% 32/12525% 25/9938% 5/13
RA#331% 42/13721% 29/137#131% 43/13726% 35/13726% 35/13723% 32/137#231% 42/13526% 32/12529% 29/10177% 10/13

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.