Scoring Analysis

Final

2021-09-0807:05Oriole Park at Camden Yards

Royals

Away

3-7

Orioles

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Royals	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	1	0	3	8	0
Orioles	4	0	2	0	0	0	1	0	X	7	6	2

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.4

Royals scoring tendency

45%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 55%

Orioles scoring tendency

25%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 20%

Sustained highCombined vs league +13pp

Inn.7

Royals scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 30%

Orioles scoring tendency

38%

Own scoring 45%

Opponent allowing 30%

Sustained highCombined vs league +15pp

Inn.6

Royals scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 35%

Orioles scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 20%

Sustained highCombined vs league +8pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Royals offense × Orioles defense

45%R 35% · RA 55%

Orioles offense × Royals defense

25%R 30% · RA 20%

Sample 20Combined vs league +13pp

Last 20 70% · Season 67% · +3pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

52%

-3pp

4–6 Middle

66%

+9pp

7–9 Late

50%

-3pp

F5 first five

57%

+2pp

F9 full game

56%

+1pp

Show team trends+

Royals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

137 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 571Runs Allowed 661

Orioles — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

136 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 559Runs Allowed 793

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Royals	R	23% 32/137	22% 30/137	#331% 42/137	30% 41/137	#231% 43/137	24% 33/137	#133% 45/137	23% 31/133	28% 29/104	50% 6/12
Royals	RA	32% 44/137	25% 34/137	31% 43/137	#134% 47/137	#234% 47/137	29% 40/137	24% 32/136	#333% 44/133	30% 31/102	67% 8/12
Orioles	R	#133% 45/136	19% 26/136	30% 41/136	#232% 43/136	27% 37/136	26% 36/136	26% 35/136	#331% 40/131	20% 23/115	70% 7/10
Orioles	RA	31% 42/136	30% 41/136	34% 46/136	#138% 51/136	34% 46/136	#335% 48/136	29% 39/134	#237% 48/131	24% 22/90	70% 7/10

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.