Scoring Analysis

Final

2021-09-0806:40loanDepot park

Mets

Away

9-4

Marlins

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Mets	2	0	2	0	0	3	0	1	1	9	6	3
Marlins	1	1	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	4	10	3

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.4

Mets scoring tendency

45%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 50%

Marlins scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 15%

Opponent allowing 40%

Heating upCombined vs league +16pp

Inn.1

Mets scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 35%

Marlins scoring tendency

38%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 45%

Heating upCombined vs league +14pp

Inn.6

Mets scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 30%

Marlins scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 20%

Short-term swingCombined vs league -2pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Mets offense × Marlins defense

45%R 40% · RA 50%

Marlins offense × Mets defense

28%R 15% · RA 40%

Sample 20Combined vs league +16pp

Last 20 73% · Season 51% · +22pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

40%

-15pp

4–6 Middle

59%

+3pp

7–9 Late

43%

-10pp

F5 first five

48%

-7pp

F9 full game

47%

-7pp

Show team trends+

Mets — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

138 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 537Runs Allowed 550

Marlins — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

137 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 544Runs Allowed 577

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Mets	R	25% 35/138	14% 19/138	25% 35/138	#328% 39/138	25% 34/138	24% 33/138	#132% 41/130	27% 31/116	#230% 27/89	67% 10/15
Mets	RA	27% 37/138	23% 32/138	20% 28/138	22% 30/138	#130% 42/138	#230% 42/138	22% 29/133	26% 30/116	#327% 23/84	53% 8/15
Marlins	R	26% 35/137	#226% 36/137	23% 31/137	20% 27/137	#326% 36/137	26% 35/137	23% 31/136	#127% 36/133	19% 19/102	53% 9/17
Marlins	RA	#328% 39/137	23% 32/137	24% 33/137	#132% 44/137	28% 39/137	21% 28/136	19% 25/134	#229% 38/133	27% 27/100	53% 9/17

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.