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2021-09-0707:10
2-11
Astros
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Mariners002000000252
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.6
Mariners scoring tendency
45%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 50%
Astros scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 30%
Heating upCombined vs league +16pp
#2
Inn.1
Mariners scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 15%
Astros scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 40%
Heating upCombined vs league +9pp
#3
Inn.8
Mariners scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 35%
Astros scoring tendency
18%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 15%
Sustained highCombined vs league +1pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Mariners offense × Astros defense
45%R 40% · RA 50%
Astros offense × Mariners defense
28%R 25% · RA 30%
Sample 20Combined vs league +16pp
Last 20 73% · Season 55% · +17pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
53%
-2pp
4–6 Middle
57%
+0pp
7–9 Late
43%
-9pp
F5 first five
52%
-4pp
F9 full game
51%
-4pp
Show team trends+

Mariners — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

137 games
0285786115617815174280733597045092570626525477164846439421810+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.51.11.62.112345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 582Runs Allowed 628

Astros — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

136 games
0306090120824916142294513965648676574736725577275854409192710+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.91.31.812345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 710Runs Allowed 544
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
MarinersR#231% 42/13719% 26/137#134% 46/13723% 32/13725% 34/13728% 38/13725% 34/137#329% 39/13327% 28/10276% 19/25
RA27% 37/137#232% 44/137#330% 41/13730% 41/137#136% 49/13724% 33/13723% 31/13625% 33/13324% 25/10556% 14/25
AstrosR#234% 46/13625% 34/13629% 39/136#143% 58/136#332% 43/13629% 39/13629% 40/13625% 34/13429% 29/9963% 12/19
RA21% 29/13618% 24/13628% 38/13625% 34/136#130% 41/136#230% 41/13625% 34/135#330% 40/13420% 22/10968% 13/19

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.