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Final
2021-09-0702:20Wrigley Field
Reds
Away
3-4
Cubs
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Team123456789RHE
Reds000003000361
Cubs30000001X470

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.8
Reds scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 33%
Opponent allowing 26%
Cubs scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 32%
Opponent allowing 44%
Heating upCombined vs league +14pp
#2
Inn.1
Reds scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 45%
Cubs scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 15%
Opponent allowing 35%
Sustained highCombined vs league +7pp
#3
Inn.6
Reds scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 45%
Cubs scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 30%
Heating upCombined vs league +6pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Reds offense × Cubs defense
30%R 33% · RA 26%
Cubs offense × Reds defense
38%R 32% · RA 44%
Sample 18Combined vs league +14pp
Last 20 68% · Season 50% · +18pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
54%
-1pp
4–6 Middle
58%
+2pp
7–9 Late
49%
-4pp
F5 first five
55%
-1pp
F9 full game
54%
-1pp
Show team trends+

Reds — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

138 games
0285786115808018145292663638447663564786795776990854559273310+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.50.91.41.912345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 685Runs Allowed 651

Cubs — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

138 games
0306191122759716683273703708345892559936647077154847329121910+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.50.91.41.812345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 595Runs Allowed 693
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
RedsR#230% 42/13828% 38/138#131% 43/13823% 32/138#330% 41/13827% 37/13729% 39/13626% 35/13428% 28/10173% 16/22
RA#136% 49/13822% 31/13825% 35/138#328% 39/13825% 35/13828% 38/13724% 33/137#231% 41/13426% 28/10859% 13/22
CubsR#328% 38/13828% 38/138#231% 43/138#133% 45/13823% 32/13825% 34/13825% 34/13627% 36/13425% 26/10669% 9/13
RA#232% 44/13827% 37/13829% 40/13830% 42/138#332% 44/138#134% 47/13825% 35/13816% 22/13418% 17/9777% 10/13

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.