Sportify
Final
2021-09-0701:05Nationals Park
Mets
Away
3-4
Team123456789RHE
Mets1001010003120
Nationals100100002X4131

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.1
Mets scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 40%
Nationals scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 45%
Sustained highCombined vs league +9pp
#2
Inn.4
Mets scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 25%
Nationals scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 35%
Heating upCombined vs league +11pp
#3
Inn.5
Mets scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 45%
Nationals scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 25%
Heating upCombined vs league +11pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Mets offense × Nationals defense
35%R 30% · RA 40%
Nationals offense × Mets defense
32%R 20% · RA 45%
Sample 20Combined vs league +9pp
Last 20 68% · Season 59% · +8pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
58%
+3pp
4–6 Middle
63%
+7pp
7–9 Late
51%
-2pp
F5 first five
62%
+6pp
F9 full game
57%
+3pp
Show team trends+

Mets — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

137 games
024487297647413758253493626645977566676724675158848409221110+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.50.91.41.812345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 534Runs Allowed 546

Nationals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

136 games
030619112297851586328175379804608756580656747587384351971510+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.51.01.62.112345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 604Runs Allowed 683
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
MetsR25% 34/13714% 19/13726% 35/137#328% 38/13725% 34/13723% 32/137#132% 41/12927% 31/115#231% 27/8867% 10/15
RA26% 36/13723% 32/13720% 28/13721% 29/137#131% 42/137#231% 42/13722% 29/13226% 30/115#327% 22/8353% 8/15
NationalsR#133% 45/13623% 31/136#232% 43/13630% 41/13624% 32/13625% 34/13523% 30/13224% 30/123#331% 30/9844% 4/9
RA#134% 46/13623% 31/13630% 41/13631% 42/136#233% 45/13628% 38/135#333% 44/13430% 37/12331% 28/8989% 8/9

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.