Scoring Analysis

Final

2021-09-0701:05Oriole Park at Camden Yards

Royals

Away

3-2

Orioles

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Royals	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	2	0	3	8	0
Orioles	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	2	7	0

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.6

Royals scoring tendency

40%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 40%

Orioles scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 25%

Sustained highCombined vs league +16pp

Inn.7

Royals scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 30%

Orioles scoring tendency

40%

Own scoring 50%

Opponent allowing 30%

Sustained highCombined vs league +20pp

Inn.4

Royals scoring tendency

45%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 55%

Orioles scoring tendency

25%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 20%

Sustained highCombined vs league +13pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Royals offense × Orioles defense

40%R 40% · RA 40%

Orioles offense × Royals defense

32%R 40% · RA 25%

Sample 20Combined vs league +16pp

Last 20 73% · Season 58% · +15pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

54%

-1pp

4–6 Middle

66%

+9pp

7–9 Late

53%

+0pp

F5 first five

57%

+2pp

F9 full game

58%

+3pp

Show team trends+

Royals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

136 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 568Runs Allowed 659

Orioles — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

135 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 557Runs Allowed 790

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Royals	R	24% 32/136	22% 30/136	#231% 42/136	30% 41/136	#331% 42/136	24% 33/136	#133% 45/136	23% 30/132	28% 29/103	50% 6/12
Royals	RA	32% 44/136	25% 34/136	31% 42/136	#135% 47/136	#234% 46/136	29% 40/136	24% 32/135	#333% 44/132	31% 31/101	67% 8/12
Orioles	R	#133% 45/135	19% 26/135	30% 40/135	#232% 43/135	27% 36/135	27% 36/135	26% 35/135	#331% 40/130	20% 23/114	70% 7/10
Orioles	RA	31% 42/135	30% 41/135	34% 46/135	#138% 51/135	33% 45/135	#336% 48/135	29% 39/133	#236% 47/130	25% 22/89	70% 7/10

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.