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Final
2021-09-0604:10Petco Park
Astros
Away
3-4
Padres
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.3
Astros scoring tendency
43%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 40%
Padres scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 25%
Sustained highCombined vs league +12pp
#2
Inn.6
Astros scoring tendency
22%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 15%
Padres scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 50%
Sustained highCombined vs league +6pp
#3
Inn.8
Astros scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 35%
Padres scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 35%
Short-term swingCombined vs league +1pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Astros offense × Padres defense
43%R 45% · RA 40%
Padres offense × Astros defense
25%R 25% · RA 25%
Sample 20Combined vs league +12pp
Last 20 68% · Season 56% · +12pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
52%
-2pp
4–6 Middle
55%
-2pp
7–9 Late
45%
-8pp
F5 first five
52%
-3pp
F9 full game
51%
-4pp
Show team trends+

Astros — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

135 games
0306090120814616142294513965648676574736705577275854399192710+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.91.31.812345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 707Runs Allowed 540

Padres — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

137 games
0265278104806817462256833636646170577646755176955860259201710+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.50.81.012345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 635Runs Allowed 561
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
AstrosR#233% 45/13525% 34/13529% 39/135#143% 58/135#332% 43/13529% 39/13529% 39/13526% 34/13330% 29/9863% 12/19
RA21% 28/13518% 24/13528% 38/13525% 34/135#130% 41/135#230% 41/13525% 34/134#330% 40/13319% 21/10868% 13/19
PadresR30% 41/13731% 42/13725% 34/13727% 37/13722% 30/137#131% 42/136#231% 42/13625% 33/133#331% 29/9446% 11/24
RA23% 32/13727% 37/137#130% 41/13727% 37/137#230% 41/13724% 33/13621% 28/136#327% 36/13318% 19/10742% 10/24

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.