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Final
2021-09-0602:20Wrigley Field
8-11
Cubs
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Team123456789RHE
Pirates1040210008100
Cubs02500040X11130

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.5
Pirates scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 45%
Cubs scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 35%
Heating upCombined vs league +11pp
#2
Inn.4
Pirates scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 20%
Cubs scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 25%
Sustained highCombined vs league +1pp
#3
Inn.6
Pirates scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 15%
Opponent allowing 40%
Cubs scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 35%
Sustained highCombined vs league +1pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Pirates offense × Cubs defense
40%R 35% · RA 45%
Cubs offense × Pirates defense
28%R 20% · RA 35%
Sample 20Combined vs league +11pp
Last 20 68% · Season 52% · +15pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
50%
-5pp
4–6 Middle
61%
+4pp
7–9 Late
50%
-3pp
F5 first five
55%
-0pp
F9 full game
54%
-1pp
Show team trends+

Pirates — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

136 games
034681021376710014297249623546546074554109668797476784037910710+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.60.91.112345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 491Runs Allowed 697

Cubs — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

137 games
0306090120759616483268663708345890559926607077154847329121910+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.50.91.41.812345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 584Runs Allowed 685
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
PiratesR#324% 32/13619% 26/13622% 30/136#125% 34/13622% 30/136#225% 34/13623% 30/13320% 26/12721% 23/10955% 6/11
RA#139% 53/136#338% 51/13634% 46/13625% 34/13627% 37/136#239% 53/13631% 41/13425% 32/12823% 19/8136% 4/11
CubsR#328% 38/13727% 37/137#231% 42/137#133% 45/13723% 32/13725% 34/13724% 33/13527% 36/13325% 26/10669% 9/13
RA#231% 43/13727% 37/13728% 39/13731% 42/137#331% 43/137#134% 46/13726% 35/13717% 22/13318% 17/9677% 10/13

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.