Scoring Analysis

Final

2021-09-0601:10Great American Ball Park

Tigers

Away

4-1

Reds

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Tigers	0	0	0	0	0	3	0	1	0	4	6	0
Reds	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	6	1

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.8

Tigers scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 44%

Reds scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 33%

Opponent allowing 30%

Heating upCombined vs league +12pp

Inn.5

Tigers scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 50%

Opponent allowing 15%

Reds scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 20%

Sustained highCombined vs league +4pp

Inn.3

Tigers scoring tendency

25%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 25%

Reds scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 45%

Heating upCombined vs league +4pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Tigers offense × Reds defense

35%R 25% · RA 44%

Reds offense × Tigers defense

32%R 33% · RA 30%

Sample 18Combined vs league +12pp

Last 20 66% · Season 52% · +14pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

55%

+0pp

4–6 Middle

54%

-2pp

7–9 Late

48%

-5pp

F5 first five

56%

+1pp

F9 full game

52%

-2pp

Show team trends+

Tigers — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

137 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 599Runs Allowed 661

Reds — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

137 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 684Runs Allowed 647

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Tigers	R	20% 28/137	#329% 40/137	25% 34/137	29% 40/137	#139% 54/137	26% 35/137	27% 36/134	18% 23/128	#232% 32/101	63% 12/19
Tigers	RA	28% 39/137	#232% 44/137	28% 38/137	30% 41/137	#135% 48/137	#331% 43/137	24% 32/135	30% 39/128	26% 25/98	63% 12/19
Reds	R	#231% 42/137	28% 38/137	#131% 43/137	23% 32/137	#330% 41/137	27% 37/136	29% 39/135	26% 34/133	28% 28/100	73% 16/22
Reds	RA	#136% 49/137	23% 31/137	26% 35/137	#328% 39/137	26% 35/137	27% 37/136	24% 33/136	#230% 40/133	26% 28/107	59% 13/22

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.