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Final
2021-09-0508:40Petco Park
Astros
Away
2-10
Padres
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Team123456789RHE
Astros110000000270
Padres04000042X10110

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.3
Astros scoring tendency
45%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 45%
Padres scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 25%
Sustained highCombined vs league +14pp
#2
Inn.6
Astros scoring tendency
22%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 15%
Padres scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 50%
Sustained highCombined vs league +6pp
#3
Inn.8
Astros scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 40%
Padres scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 15%
Opponent allowing 35%
Short-term swingCombined vs league +0pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Astros offense × Padres defense
45%R 45% · RA 45%
Padres offense × Astros defense
25%R 25% · RA 25%
Sample 20Combined vs league +14pp
Last 20 70% · Season 56% · +14pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
50%
-5pp
4–6 Middle
57%
+0pp
7–9 Late
43%
-10pp
F5 first five
51%
-4pp
F9 full game
50%
-5pp
Show team trends+

Astros — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

134 games
0306090120804616038294513965648676574736705177273854399192710+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.91.31.812345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 705Runs Allowed 530

Padres — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

136 games
0265278104806717061256833636646170577646715176755860259201710+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.50.81.012345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 625Runs Allowed 559
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
AstrosR#233% 44/13425% 33/13429% 39/134#143% 58/134#332% 43/13429% 39/13429% 39/13426% 34/13230% 29/9763% 12/19
RA21% 28/13417% 23/13428% 38/13425% 34/134#131% 41/134#231% 41/13425% 33/133#330% 39/13219% 21/10868% 13/19
PadresR30% 41/13630% 41/13625% 34/13627% 37/13622% 30/136#131% 42/135#330% 41/13524% 32/132#231% 29/9446% 11/24
RA23% 31/13626% 36/136#130% 41/13627% 37/136#230% 41/13624% 33/13521% 28/135#327% 36/13218% 19/10642% 10/24

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.