Scoring Analysis

Final

2021-09-0507:10Great American Ball Park

Tigers

Away

4-7

Reds

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Tigers	0	0	3	0	1	0	0	0	0	4	8	0
Reds	0	0	5	0	0	0	2	0	X	7	10	0

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.8

Tigers scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 44%

Reds scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 33%

Opponent allowing 30%

Heating upCombined vs league +12pp

Inn.4

Tigers scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 35%

Reds scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 35%

Heating upCombined vs league +6pp

Inn.1

Tigers scoring tendency

25%

Own scoring 15%

Opponent allowing 35%

Reds scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 35%

Short-term swingCombined vs league +2pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Tigers offense × Reds defense

35%R 25% · RA 44%

Reds offense × Tigers defense

32%R 33% · RA 30%

Sample 18Combined vs league +12pp

Last 20 66% · Season 52% · +14pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

52%

-2pp

4–6 Middle

58%

+1pp

7–9 Late

49%

-4pp

F5 first five

56%

+0pp

F9 full game

53%

-2pp

Show team trends+

Tigers — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

136 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 595Runs Allowed 654

Reds — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

136 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 677Runs Allowed 643

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Tigers	R	21% 28/136	#329% 40/136	24% 33/136	29% 40/136	#139% 53/136	26% 35/136	27% 36/133	18% 23/127	#232% 32/100	63% 12/19
Tigers	RA	29% 39/136	#232% 44/136	27% 37/136	30% 41/136	#135% 48/136	#332% 43/136	23% 31/134	31% 39/127	26% 25/98	63% 12/19
Reds	R	#131% 42/136	28% 38/136	#231% 42/136	24% 32/136	#330% 41/136	27% 37/135	28% 38/134	26% 34/132	28% 28/100	73% 16/22
Reds	RA	#136% 49/136	23% 31/136	25% 34/136	#329% 39/136	25% 34/136	27% 37/135	24% 33/135	#230% 40/132	26% 28/106	59% 13/22

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.