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Final
2021-09-0502:20Wrigley Field
6-7
Cubs
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Team123456789RHE
Pirates100050000690
Cubs000310003X7111

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.5
Pirates scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 45%
Cubs scoring tendency
22%
Own scoring 15%
Opponent allowing 30%
Heating upCombined vs league +6pp
#2
Inn.6
Pirates scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 45%
Cubs scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 35%
Sustained highCombined vs league +6pp
#3
Inn.7
Pirates scoring tendency
31%
Own scoring 26%
Opponent allowing 35%
Cubs scoring tendency
31%
Own scoring 26%
Opponent allowing 35%
Heating upCombined vs league +9pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Pirates offense × Cubs defense
40%R 35% · RA 45%
Cubs offense × Pirates defense
22%R 15% · RA 30%
Sample 20Combined vs league +6pp
Last 20 62% · Season 51% · +12pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
52%
-2pp
4–6 Middle
61%
+4pp
7–9 Late
52%
-1pp
F5 first five
56%
+0pp
F9 full game
55%
+0pp
Show team trends+

Pirates — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

135 games
034681021376610014297249623546245573554109668797476784034910710+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.60.91.112345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 485Runs Allowed 690

Cubs — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

136 games
0295989119759516483268663678345785559926607077154844329121910+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.50.91.41.812345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 577Runs Allowed 679
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
PiratesR#323% 31/13519% 26/13522% 30/135#125% 34/13521% 29/135#225% 34/13523% 30/13221% 26/12621% 23/10855% 6/11
RA#139% 53/135#338% 51/13534% 46/13524% 33/13527% 36/135#239% 53/13531% 41/13325% 32/12722% 18/8036% 4/11
CubsR#328% 38/13627% 37/136#231% 42/136#132% 44/13623% 31/13625% 34/13625% 33/13427% 36/13224% 25/10569% 9/13
RA#231% 42/13627% 37/13629% 39/136#331% 42/13631% 42/136#134% 46/13626% 35/13617% 22/13218% 17/9577% 10/13

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.