Sportify
Final
2021-09-0506:05Nationals Park
Mets
Away
3-4
Team123456789RHE
Mets1000020--340
Nationals200020--X470

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.4
Mets scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 30%
Nationals scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 35%
Heating upCombined vs league +13pp
#2
Inn.7
Mets scoring tendency
42%
Own scoring 37%
Opponent allowing 47%
Nationals scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 30%
Sustained highCombined vs league +14pp
#3
Inn.5
Mets scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 50%
Nationals scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 20%
Heating upCombined vs league +9pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Mets offense × Nationals defense
38%R 45% · RA 30%
Nationals offense × Mets defense
32%R 30% · RA 35%
Sample 20Combined vs league +13pp
Last 20 70% · Season 55% · +15pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
46%
-9pp
4–6 Middle
64%
+8pp
7–9 Late
51%
-2pp
F5 first five
55%
-1pp
F9 full game
54%
-1pp
Show team trends+

Mets — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

134 games
022456790576913258251493606345972564636724475058840409221110+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.50.91.41.812345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 507Runs Allowed 527

Nationals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

133 games
028578611592781585828173376784558756178654747587284343971510+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.51.01.62.112345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 585Runs Allowed 656
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
MetsR23% 31/13413% 17/13425% 33/134#328% 37/13425% 34/13423% 31/134#133% 41/12627% 30/113#229% 25/8667% 10/15
RA25% 34/13424% 32/13421% 28/13421% 28/134#230% 40/134#131% 41/13422% 28/13027% 30/113#327% 22/8153% 8/15
NationalsR#132% 43/13323% 31/133#232% 43/13330% 40/13323% 30/13325% 33/13222% 29/13025% 30/121#331% 30/9644% 4/9
RA#332% 43/13322% 29/13329% 39/13331% 41/133#134% 45/13328% 37/132#234% 44/13130% 36/12130% 26/8789% 8/9

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.