Sportify
Final
2021-09-0410:10Petco Park
Astros
Away
6-3
Padres
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Padres001011000371

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.3
Astros scoring tendency
48%
Own scoring 50%
Opponent allowing 45%
Padres scoring tendency
20%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 20%
Sustained highCombined vs league +12pp
#2
Inn.6
Astros scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 15%
Padres scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 45%
Sustained highCombined vs league +3pp
#3
Inn.4
Astros scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 30%
Padres scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 15%
Opponent allowing 35%
Cooling downCombined vs league -4pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Astros offense × Padres defense
48%R 50% · RA 45%
Padres offense × Astros defense
20%R 20% · RA 20%
Sample 20Combined vs league +12pp
Last 20 68% · Season 56% · +12pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
54%
-1pp
4–6 Middle
53%
-3pp
7–9 Late
42%
-11pp
F5 first five
52%
-3pp
F9 full game
50%
-5pp
Show team trends+

Astros — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

133 games
0295988118804616038294503935648675574726705177073853399192710+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.91.31.812345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 699Runs Allowed 527

Padres — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

135 games
0265278104806717061255833636346070576646715176753860249201710+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.50.81.012345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 622Runs Allowed 553
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
AstrosR#233% 44/13325% 33/13329% 39/133#143% 57/133#332% 43/13329% 39/13329% 39/13325% 33/13129% 28/9663% 12/19
RA21% 28/13317% 23/13328% 37/13326% 34/133#130% 40/133#230% 40/13325% 33/132#330% 39/13120% 21/10768% 13/19
PadresR30% 41/13530% 41/13524% 33/13527% 37/13521% 29/135#231% 41/134#331% 41/13424% 32/131#131% 29/9346% 11/24
RA23% 31/13527% 36/135#130% 41/13527% 36/135#230% 41/13525% 33/13421% 28/134#327% 35/13117% 18/10542% 10/24

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.