Scoring Analysis

Final

2021-09-0407:05Nationals Park

Mets

Away

6-2

Nationals

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	R	H	E
Mets	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	4	6	12	1
Nationals	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	2	6	1

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.4

Mets scoring tendency

40%

Own scoring 50%

Opponent allowing 30%

Nationals scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 35%

Heating upCombined vs league +16pp

Inn.7

Mets scoring tendency

46%

Own scoring 39%

Opponent allowing 53%

Nationals scoring tendency

25%

Own scoring 20%

Opponent allowing 30%

Sustained highCombined vs league +18pp

Inn.5

Mets scoring tendency

40%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 55%

Nationals scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 20%

Heating upCombined vs league +14pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Mets offense × Nationals defense

40%R 50% · RA 30%

Nationals offense × Mets defense

32%R 30% · RA 35%

Sample 20Combined vs league +16pp

Last 20 72% · Season 55% · +17pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

47%

-8pp

4–6 Middle

68%

+11pp

7–9 Late

52%

-1pp

F5 first five

57%

+1pp

F9 full game

55%

+1pp

Show team trends+

Mets — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

133 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 501Runs Allowed 525

Nationals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

132 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 583Runs Allowed 650

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Mets	R	23% 31/133	12% 16/133	24% 32/133	#328% 37/133	26% 34/133	23% 31/133	#133% 41/125	27% 30/112	#229% 25/85	64% 9/14
Mets	RA	26% 34/133	24% 32/133	21% 28/133	21% 28/133	#230% 40/133	#131% 41/133	22% 28/129	#327% 30/112	26% 21/80	57% 8/14
Nationals	R	#133% 43/132	23% 31/132	#233% 43/132	30% 40/132	23% 30/132	25% 33/131	22% 29/129	25% 30/120	#331% 29/95	50% 4/8
Nationals	RA	#333% 43/132	21% 28/132	29% 38/132	31% 41/132	#134% 45/132	28% 37/131	#234% 44/130	30% 36/120	30% 26/86	88% 7/8

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.