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Final
2021-09-0402:20Wrigley Field
5-6
Cubs
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.7
Pirates scoring tendency
31%
Own scoring 26%
Opponent allowing 35%
Cubs scoring tendency
31%
Own scoring 26%
Opponent allowing 35%
Heating upCombined vs league +9pp
#2
Inn.4
Pirates scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 25%
Cubs scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 25%
Short-term swingCombined vs league +3pp
#3
Inn.5
Pirates scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 40%
Cubs scoring tendency
22%
Own scoring 15%
Opponent allowing 30%
Heating upCombined vs league +1pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Pirates offense × Cubs defense
31%R 26% · RA 35%
Cubs offense × Pirates defense
31%R 26% · RA 35%
Sample 19Combined vs league +9pp
Last 20 61% · Season 52% · +9pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
52%
-3pp
4–6 Middle
57%
+1pp
7–9 Late
56%
+3pp
F5 first five
54%
-1pp
F9 full game
55%
+0pp
Show team trends+

Pirates — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

134 games
033671011356610014294249613546145373551108668797476784034910710+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.60.91.112345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 480Runs Allowed 684

Cubs — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

135 games
0295989119759516183267663668345783558896607077154844329121910+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.50.91.41.812345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 571Runs Allowed 674
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
PiratesR#323% 31/13419% 26/13422% 30/134#125% 34/13421% 28/134#225% 33/13423% 30/13121% 26/12521% 23/10755% 6/11
RA#140% 53/134#337% 50/13434% 45/13424% 32/13427% 36/134#239% 52/13431% 41/13225% 32/12622% 18/8036% 4/11
CubsR#328% 38/13527% 36/135#230% 41/135#132% 43/13523% 31/13524% 33/13525% 33/13327% 36/13124% 25/10569% 9/13
RA#231% 42/13527% 37/13529% 39/135#331% 42/13530% 41/135#133% 45/13526% 35/13517% 22/13118% 17/9477% 10/13

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.